Prepartion Worksheet | Name : Hideaki Morishima | Page 1 | ||||||||||
Negotiations Exercise : Deeport | Role : Govenor | |||||||||||
Issues/Option | ||||||||||||
Govenor : Positive | UNION : Positive | Environmentalist: Negative | FED DCR : positive | OTHER PORTS : Negative to neutral | ||||||||
A. Industry Mix | Low | "Heavy" correlate to unionized | Middle | "Heavy" correlate to unionized | High | "Heavy" means dirty | Middle | Regulation means high cost and long term work, then higher risk for project | Middle | |||
Heavy | 14 | H | L | H | H | Heavy option might increase total needs of port, but less impact in total | ||||||
Medium | 8 | M | M | M | M | |||||||
Light | 0 | L | H | L | L | |||||||
B. Ecological Impact | Low | avoid imposing unnecessary cost | Low | more strict regulation might decrease their job | High | Request heavier regulation | High | avoid imposing unnecessary cost | Middle | |||
Complianance | 12 | H | L | H | H | Want to avoid same regulation | ||||||
maintain and repair | 8 | M | M | M | M | |||||||
improve | 0 | L | H | L | L | |||||||
C. Employment Rules | High | revive the union, at least some presence | High | at least some presence | Low | Union issue canbe separated from Regulation | Middle | avoid the project risk of shortage in labor resource | Low | |||
unlimited union preference | 24 | High | L | L | L | Separetd from this issue Want to avoid same regulation |
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unon quota 2:1 | 18 | M | M | M | M | |||||||
unon quota 1:1 | 12 | M | M | M | M | |||||||
no union reference (almost non-union worker will join) | 0 | L | H | H | H | |||||||
D. Federal Loan | High | Loan is indispensable for project | Middle | Loan make the project (i.e.new job) surer | Low | Prefer negative issue for the project | High ? | Longer and too much loan means higher risk but are they really
risk-averse like a commercial bank? Make the project surer with some condition |
Middle | Loan will make higher compensensation surer | ||
$3 billion over the next 20 years | 40 | H | L | L | H | |||||||
$2 billion over the next 20 years | 30 | M | L | L | M | |||||||
$1 billion over the 20 years
(component could be operational 5 years after construction) |
23 | M | M | M | M | |||||||
no federal loan | 0 | L | H | H | L | |||||||
E. Compensation to other ports | Low | avoid imposing unnecessary cost this condition to be disclosed in last vote |
Low | Compensation stimulate the new job in other port | Low | Prefer negative issue for the project Afraid pollution in other port |
High? | avoid imposing unnecessary cost, but directly DCR cannot pay the compensation. | High | Need Higher compensation | ||
$600 million | 0 | H | H | L | H | |||||||
$450 million | 2 | H | H | L | H | |||||||
$300 million | 4 | M | M | M | M | |||||||
$150 million | 7 | M | M | M | M | |||||||
no compensation | 10 | L | L | H | L | |||||||
Total Score of proposal | 0 | |||||||||||
Prepartion Worksheet | Name : Hideaki Morishima | Page 2 | ||||||||||
Negotiations Exercise : Deeport | Role : Govenor | |||||||||||
Govenor : Positive | UNION : Positive | Environmentalist: Negative | FED DCR : positive | OTHER PORTS : Negative to neutral | ||||||||
BATNA | Vote "No" to control Deeport Release the control to UNION |
Vote "No" | Vote "No" | Vote "No", Refuse Loan |
Vote "No" | |||||||
Reservation Price | 45 points | Union Quta 1:1 | Industry Mix = Light | Succesfully complete the project | Compensated to some extent | |||||||
Ecological Impact = Improve | ||||||||||||
Target Aspiration | With Federation loan 3M$ over next 20 years | Unlimited union preference | Cancell the project | Minimum Loan ? | Maxmum compensation | |||||||
Unlimited union preference | Mimimum total cost | Keep friendship with Govenor of Seaborn | ||||||||||
Compensation to OTHER PORT: No | ||||||||||||
Industry Mix : Heavy | Project to be cancelled ? | |||||||||||
Ecological Impact : Compliance | ||||||||||||
WHAT IS YOUR OPENING MOVE? INITIAL STRATEGY AND CONTINGENCY PLANS: | ||||||||||||
1) | Talk with Deeport and make an alliance to assure the loan from FED DCR. | |||||||||||
Let him understood my RP (Union Quota1:1, $1 Billion, plus best offer from other three condition). | ||||||||||||
Get an agreement to confirm the proposal everytime before presented for the vote | ||||||||||||
This action will lead to fix the "Environmantal Rule" as "Compliance" at first | ||||||||||||
Let Deeport not to reveal the negotiation with OTHER PORT unitl last proposal to minimize the compensation | ||||||||||||
2) | Let Deeport & FED make negotiation with OTHER PORT under the table, integrating higher loan with higher compensation | |||||||||||
3) | Talk with Union not to antagonize and to compromise some extent | |||||||||||
4) | Talk with OTHER PORT not to make an allaiance with Enviromentalist. OTHER PORT is key player to get 4th approval | |||||||||||
5) | Isolate the Enviromentalist from other parties. Only Enviromentalist will less prioritize "Heavy in Industry Mix" and "Compliance in Ecological Impact" | |||||||||||
Package deal with these two options with the compensation to OTHER PORT. | ||||||||||||
Compromise RV in this package at "medium in Industry Mix", "maintain and repair in Ecological impact" and "300 M$ in Compensantion" | ||||||||||||
6) | Compare the cost to meet the request from Environmentalist with the compensation for OTHER PORT. | |||||||||||
If Environmentalist will approve with lower cost than compensation for OTHER PORT, close the dea with Environmentalist | ||||||||||||